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Strategy · Fixed income

Russian bonds: above-market returns with higher credit quality

An actively managed portfolio of corporate and government bonds. We earn the premium to fair yield, not credit risk.

+34.5%return in 2025
Key rate + 4–7%strategic target
2–3 yearstarget duration
A / AAportfolio rating
Results

Results by year

In 2022 the portfolio returned 13% with an A rating, in 2023 — 14% with an AA rating, in 2024 — 15%, in 2025 — 34.5%. For comparison, the only public bond ETF, BOND, returned 11.5% and 5.5% in 2022 and 2023 with an average portfolio rating of BBB+.

Vesper CapitalBOND ETF
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 13% 11.5% 2022Portfolio rating: A 14% 5.5% 2023Portfolio rating: AA 15% n/a 2024 34.5% n/a 2025
YearVesper Capital, % p.a.Portfolio ratingBOND ETF, % p.a.
2022+13%A+11.5%
2023+14%AA+5.5%
2024+15%
2025+34.5%

Annual returns of the Vesper Capital bond strategy, in roubles, net of fees. Rating — weighted average credit rating of the portfolio. Benchmark — the public BOND ETF, average portfolio rating BBB+. Past performance does not guarantee future returns.

Portfolio parameters

Parameters are fixed by the portfolio management policy and reviewed at least quarterly.

Return target
Key rate + 4–7% p.a.; tactical target for 2026 — 20% net of fees
Duration
2–3 years; rebalancing trigger — below 1.5 or above 3 years
Ratings
BBB and A — up to 60% combined; AA and AAA — up to 20%; high-yield segment — up to 15%
Sector limit
no more than 25% of the portfolio
Equities
no more than 10% of the portfolio
Derivatives
hedging only, up to 100% of a position; speculation prohibited
Liquidity
position no larger than 10 average daily turnovers of the issue (rating A and above)
Cash
unlimited — a defensive tool during market repricing

Position size depends on the premium to fair yield

We compute a fair YTM for every bond. The higher the premium of current yield over fair yield, the larger the share — up to the hard limit. Above it the position does not grow, whatever the yield.

4,0%share of portfolio
  • Base sharepremium up to 1%
  • Soft limitpremium 3%
  • Hard limitpremium 5%

Example: issuer with base share 3%, soft limit 5%, hard limit 7%

Target rating structure

    Policy guideline: BBB and A — up to 60% combined, AA and AAA — up to 20%. Reviewed monthly.

    Duration under control

    Target corridor — 2–3 years. Breaching 1.5 or 3 years triggers an unscheduled rebalancing.

    012345
    1.5
    3
    current target: 2.5
    triggertarget corridortrigger

    How an issuer gets into the portfolio

    Five stages from market filter to position limit. Every issuer gets a profile, an internal rating, a fair yield and three limit levels.

    01

    Market filter

    After the weekly review we set the required yield for each rating. If none of the issuer's bonds meets it, analysis does not start.

    02

    Formal screening

    Financial statements, agency ratings, legal and regulatory factors, disclosure quality.

    03

    Qualitative analysis

    Business model, industry position, beneficiaries and management, corporate quality, key risks.

    04

    Quantitative analysis

    Revenue, EBITDA, cash flows, debt structure and maturity schedule, interest coverage, cost of funding.

    05

    Rating, fair YTM, limits

    Internal rating from BBB- to AAA, fair yield on three curve segments, base / soft / hard limit depending on the premium.

    How we analyse an issuer: five stages to a position limit

    Capital calculator

    Capital calculator

    Model capital growth for different annual returns and horizons. The calculation is illustrative: it is not a forecast and does not account for taxes.

    Capital after 5 years
    $2 396 000
    gain: +$1 396 000 · ×2,40

    Illustrative calculation with annual compounding of reinvested income. Not a guarantee or promise of returns.

    FAQ

    Frequently asked questions

    Who can invest in the strategy?

    Qualified investors, family offices and institutional investors. Minimum ticket — from $500k or the equivalent in roubles.

    How is participation structured?

    The format depends on your jurisdiction and capital structure: discretionary management, an individual strategy on your brokerage account, or participation through a fund. We agree the exact structure at the first meeting.

    In which currency are returns calculated?

    The base currency of the strategy is the Russian rouble. Returns in the table are in roubles net of fees. Currency hedging is discussed individually.

    How often do I receive reports?

    Monthly: portfolio structure by rating, sector and duration, actual return and the manager's commentary. Plus access to the weekly market review.

    What happens when the market deteriorates?

    The policy allows an unlimited cash share and hedging with derivatives. When yields rise we tighten rating requirements and shorten duration.

    Next step

    Let's discuss your capital

    Leave your contact details and a Vesper Capital partner will reach out within one business day. Or message us directly on Telegram.

    This offer is addressed to qualified investors. Minimum ticket — from $500k.

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